WSC 2007 Program

Keynote Address
Susan Smyth (General Motors Corp)

Fortieth Anniversary Special Panel: Landmark Papers
David Goldsman (Georgia Institute of Technology), James O. Henriksen (Wolverine Software Corporation), Pierre L'Ecuyer (Universite de Montreal), Barry L. Nelson (Northwestern University), David H. Withers (none) and Nilay Tanik Argon (University of North Carolina)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 1 as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 2 as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 3 as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 4 as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 5 as a pdf file ]

Fortieth Anniversary Special Panel: Landmark Papers
David Goldsman (Georgia Institute of Technology), James O. Henriksen (Wolverine Software Corporation), Pierre L'Ecuyer (Universite de Montreal), Barry L. Nelson (Northwestern University), David H. Withers (none) and Nilay Tanik Argon (University of North Carolina)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 6 as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 7 as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 8 as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 9 as a pdf file ]
[ Landmark Paper 10 as a pdf file ]

Introduction to Simulation
David Goldsman (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Representing and Generating Uncertainty Effectively
W. David Kelton (University of Cincinnati)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

The Optimizing-simulator: Merging Simulation and Optimization Using Approximate Dynamic Programming
Warren B. Powell (Princeton University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Fundamentals of Simulation Modeling
Paul Sanchez (Naval Postgraduate School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Introduction to Modeling and Generating Probabilistic Input Processes for Simulation
Michael E. Kuhl (Rochester Institute of Technology), Emily K. Lada (SAS Institute Inc.), Natalie M. Steiger (University of Maine), Mary Ann Wagner (SAIC) and James R. Wilson (North Carolina State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Statistical Analysis of Simulation Output Data: The Practical State of the Art
Averill M. Law (Averill M. Law & Associates)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Work Smarter, Not Harder: Guidelines for Designing Simulation Experiments
Susan M. Sanchez (Naval Postgraduate School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Agent-based Modeling and Simulation: Desktop ABMS
Charles M. Macal and Michael J. North (Argonne National Laboratory)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Tips for Successful Practice of Simulation
Deborah Sadowski (Rockwell Automation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Inside Discrete-event Simulation Software: How it Works and Why it Matters
Thomas J. Schriber (University of Michigan) and Daniel T. Brunner (Kiva Systems Incorporated)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Verification and Validation of Simulation Models
Robert G. Sargent (Syracuse University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Defense and Homeland Security Applications of Multi-agent Simulations
Thomas W. Lucas and Susan M. Sanchez (Naval Postgraduate School), Felix Martinez (Centro de Estudios Superiores Navales), Lisa R. Sickinger (USS Laboon (DDG-58)) and Jonathan W. Roginski (United States Military Academy)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Statistical Analysis of Simulation Output: State of the Art
Christos Alexopoulos (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Recent Advances in Ranking and Selection
Seong-Hee Kim (Georgia Institute of Technology) and Barry L. Nelson (Northwestern University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Real Options Valuation
Barry R. Cobb (Virginia Military Institute) and John M. Charnes (The University of Kansas)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Regression Models and Experimental Designs: A Tutorial for Simulation Analysts
Jack P. C. Kleijnen (Tilburg University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Making Sure You Tackle the Right Problem: Linking Hard and Soft Methods in Simulation Practice
Michael Pidd (Lancaster University Management School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Vanguard Software: Enterprise Simulation A Practical Application in Business Planning
Robert Suggs and Brian Lewis (Vanguard Software Corporation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Applied Materials-The Simulation Power of Automod
Todd LeBaron and Craig Jacobsen (Applied Materials)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

PMC Corp.-Simulation Implements Demand-Driven Workforce Scheduler for Service Industry
Marcelo C. Zottolo and Edward J. Williams (PMC) and Onur M. Ulgen (University of Michigan - Dearborn)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Imagine That-ExtendSim 7
David Krahl (Imagine That, Inc.)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

SIMUL8 Standard and Professional
Mark Elder (SIMUL8 Corporation)

SIMUL8-Planner
Kieran Concannon (SIMUL8)

Wolverine Software: Introduction to SLX and GPSS/H Simulation Languages
James Henriksen (Wolverine Software)

U-DMTEK: PLCSTUDIO
Chang-Mok Park (U-DMTEK)

SAIC-Successful NASA Discrete Event Simulation Models
Kevin A. Ryan and Grant Cates (SAIC)

AnyLogic Professional
Andrei Borshchev (XJ Technologies)

Emulate3D: the Future of Simulation
Ian McGregor (Emulate 3D Ltd.)

Flexsim-High Fidelity DIS in Logistics Simulation
Eamonn Lavery (Flexsim Softwre Products, Inc.) and William Nordgren (Flexsim Software Products, Inc.)

Incontrol Enterprise Dynamics-Business Solutions
Jan Thiermann and Jeroen Bijsterbosch (Incontrol Enterprise Dynamics)

Systems Navigator-Scenario Navigator
Rienk Bijlsma (Systems Navigator)

Rockwell Automation-Arena Overview
Thomas Hayson (Rockwell Software)

V-Sim--World Leader in Emulation Solutions
Joe Hugan (V-Sim)

ProModel Innovations in Simulation-Based Portfolio and Project Management
Carl Napoletano (ProModel Corporation)

LLamasoft: Supply Chain Guru
Donald A. Hicks (LLamasoft, Inc.)

tarakos GmbH-taraVRbuilder
Anett Braune (Tarakos)

Rockwell Automation-Arena Overview
Thomas Hayson (Rockwell Automation)

Incontrol Enterprise Dynamics-Supply Chain Simulation
Matt Rumenapp (Incontrol Enterprise Dynamics)

Frontline Systems-Simulation Optimization, Stochastic Programming and Robust Optimization Made Easy
Daniel H. Fylstra (Frontline Systems Inc.)

Simulation 101 Software: Workshop and Beyond
Barry Lawson (University of Richmond) and Lawrence Leemis (The College of William & Mary)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Researcher's Discipline
Ray J. Paul (Brunel University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Clinic: Aggregating Subsystem Models Into an Automotive Total Plant Throughput Model
Jeffrey Scott Miller, Randy Combs, Earnest Foster, and Jeffrey Tew (General Motors), D. J. Medeiros (Pennsylvania State University) and Onur M. Ulgen (Production Modeling Corporation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Clinic: Correlated Inputs in an Automotive Paint Shop Fire Risk Simulation
Debra Elkins (General Motors R&D Center), Chris LaFleur (General Motors Corporate Risk Management), Earnest Foster and Jeffrey Tew (General Motors R&D Center), Bahar Biller (Carnegie Mellon University) and James R. Wilson (North Carolina State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Human Terrain Data - What Should We Do with It?
Barry G. Silverman (University of Pennsylvania)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Monte Carlo Methods in the Physical Sciences
Malvin H. Kalos (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Game-theoretic Probability and Defensive Forecasting
Glenn Shafer (Rutgers Business School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Controlled Sequential Bifurcation for Software Reliability Study
Jun Xu and Feng Yang (West Virginia University) and Hong Wan (Purdue University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

New Greedy Myopic and Existing Asymptotic Sequential Selection Procedures: Preliminary Empirical Results
Stephen E. Chick (INSEAD) and Juergen Branke and Christian Schmidt (Institute AIFB)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Tournament Framework for the Ranking and Selection Problem
Enver Yucesan (INSEAD)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Low Bias Integrated Path Estimators
James Michael Calvin (New Jersey Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Replicated Batch Means for Steady-State Simulations with Initial Transients
Christos Alexopoulos and Sigrun Andradottir (Georgia Institute of Technology), Nilay Tanik Argon (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) and David Goldsman (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Finite-sample Performance Guarantees for One-dimensional Stochastic Root Finding
Samuel M. T. Ehrlichman and Shane G. Henderson (Cornell University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Metamodeling for Cycle Time-throughput-product Mix Surfaces Using Progressive Model Fitting
Feng Yang and Jingang Liu (West Virginia University) and Mustafa Tongarlak, Bruce E. Ankenman, and Barry L. Nelson (Northwestern University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Subset Selection and Optimization for Selecting Binomial Systems Applied to Supersaturated Design Generation
Ning Zheng and Theodore Allen (The Ohio State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Determining Efficient Simulation Run Lengths for Real Time Decision Making
Russell C. H. Cheng (University of Southampton)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Stochastic Trust Region Gradient-free Method (STRONG)- A New Response-Surface-Based Algorithm in Simulation Optimization
Kuo-Hao Chang (Purdue University), L. Jeff Hong (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) and Hong Wan (Purdue University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Kriging Metamodeling in Constrained Simulation Optimization: An Explorative Study
William E. Biles (University of Louisville), Jack P. C. Kleijnen and Wim C. M. van Beers (Tilburg University) and Inneke van Nieuwenhuyse (European University College)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Allocation of Simulation Runs for Simulation Optimization
Alireza Kabirian and Sigurdur Olafsson (Iowa State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Importance Sampling of Compounding Processes
Jose H. Blanchet (Harvard University) and Bert Zwart (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Path-sampling for State-dependent Importance Sampling
Jose H. Blanchet and Jingchen Liu (Harvard University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Efficient Suboptimal Rare-event Simulation
Xiaowei Zhang (Stanford University), Jose H. Blanchet (Harvard University) and Peter W. Glynn (Stanford University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Rare-event Simulation for a Multidimensional Random Walk with T-distributed Increments
Jose H. Blanchet and Jingchen Liu (Harvard University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Estimating the Probability of a Rare Event Over a Finite Time Horizon
Pieter-Tjerk de Boer (University of Twente), Pierre L'Ecuyer (Universite de Montreal) and Gerardo Rubino and Bruno Tuffin (IRISA/INRIA Rennes)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Ant-based Approach for Determining the Change of Measure in Importance Sampling
Poul Einar Heegaard (Norwegian University of Science and Technology) and Werner Sandmann (University of Bamberg)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Sequential Sampling for Solving Stochastic Programs
Guzin Bayraksan (The University of Arizona) and David Morton (The University of Texas at Austin)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Non-linear Control Variates for Regenerative Steady-State Simulation
Sujin Kim (Purdue University) and Shane G. Henderson (Cornell University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Implications of Heavy Tails on Simulation-based Ordinal Optimization
Mark Broadie, Minsup Han, and Assaf Zeevi (Columbia University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Confidence Interval Estimation Using Linear Combinations of Overlapping Variance Estimators
Tuba Aktaran-Kalayci (University at Buffalo (SUNY)), David Goldsman (Georgia Institute of Technology) and James R. Wilson (North Carolina State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Folded Standardized Time Series Area Variance Estimators for Simulation
Claudia Antonini (Universidad Simon Bolivar), Christos Alexopoulos and David Goldsman (Georgia Institute of Technology) and James R. Wilson (North Carolina State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Sbatch: A Spaced Batch Means Procedure for Simulation Analysis
Emily K. Lada (SAS Institute Inc.) and James R. Wilson (North Carolina State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Method for Fast Generation of Bivariate Poisson Random Vectors
Kaeyoung Shin and Raghu Pasupathy (Virginia Tech)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Classification Analysis for Simulation of Machine Breakdowns
Lanting Lu, Christine S. M. Currie, and Russell C. H. Cheng (University of Southampton) and John Ladbrook (Ford)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Analysis and Generation of Random Vectors with Copulas
Christoph Strelen (University of Bonn) and Feras Nassaj (Fraunhofer Institute)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Extension of the DIRECT Optimization Algorithm for Noisy Functions
Geng Deng and Michael C. Ferris (University of Wisconsin)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Automating D.E.S. Output Analysis: How Many Replications to Run
Kathryn Hoad, Stewart Robinson, and Ruth M. Davies (The University of Warwick)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Finding the Pareto Set for Multi-objective Simulation Models by Minimization of Expected Opportunity Cost
Loo Hay Lee, Ek Peng Chew, and Suyan Teng (National University of Singapore)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Ranking and Selection Techniques with Overlapping Variance Estimators
Christopher M. Healey, David Goldsman, and Seong-Hee Kim (Georgia Tech)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Single-stage Multiple-comparison Procedures for Quantiles and Other Parameters
Marvin K. Nakayama (New Jersey Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Indifference-zone Subset Selection Procedures: Using Sample Means to Improve Efficiency
E. Jack Chen (BASF Corportion)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Bayesian Approach to Analysis of Limit Standards
Roy R. Creasey (Longwood University) and K. Preston White (University of Virginia)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Mathematical Programming-based Perturbation Analysis for GI/G/1 Queues
He Zhang and Wai Kin (Victor) Chan (Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Derivative Estimation with Known Control-variate Variances
Jamie R. Wieland and Bruce W. Schmeiser (Purdue University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Symbiotic Simulation for Business Process Re-engineering in High-tech Manufacturing and Service Networks
Malcolm Yoke Hean Low, Stephen John Turner, Ling Ding, and Hai Liang Peng (Nanyang Technological University), Lai Peng Chan (Singapore Institute of Manufacturing Technology), Peter Lendermann (D-SIMLAB Technologies Pte Ltd) and Steve Buckley (IBM T. J. Watson Research Center)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Optimizing Time Warp Simulation with Reinforcement Learning Techniques
Jun Wang and Carl Tropper (McGill University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

An Efficient Algorithm in the HLA Time Management
Buquan Liu, Yiping Yao, and Huaimin Wang (National University of Defense Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

The SISO CSPI PDG Standard for Commercial-off-the-shelf Simulation Package Interoperability Reference Models
Simon Taylor and Navonil Mustafee (Brunel University), Steffen Strassburger (Technical University of Ilmenau), Stephen John Turner and Malcolm Yoke Hean Low (Nanyang Technological University) and John Ladbrook (Ford Motor Company)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Applying CSPI Reference Models for Factory Planning
Steffen Strassburger (Technical University of Ilmenau), Thomas Schulze (University of Magdeburg) and Marco Lemessi (Deere & Co.)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

User-friendly Scheduling Tools for Large-scale Simulation Experiments
Heath A. James, Ken A. Hawick, and Chris J. Scogings (Massey University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Semantics of Petri Nets: A Comparison
Gabriel Juhas and Fedor Lehocki (Slovak University of Technology) and Robert Lorenz (Catholic University of Eichstaett-Ingolstadt)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Duality in High Level Nets - a Basis to do Diagnoses
Joerg Rudolf Mueller and Eckehard Schnieder (Technical University of Braunschweig)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

How to Synthesize Nets From Languages - a Survey
Robert Lorenz and Sebastian Mauser (Catholic University Eichstatt-Ingolstadt) and Gabriel Juhas (Slovak University of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Automatic Generation of Simulation Models for Semiconductor Manufacturing
Ralph Mueller, Christos Alexopoulos, and Leon F. McGinnis (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Transformations For Accelerating MCMC Simulations With Broken Ergodicity
Mark Fleischer (Ultranetx, LLC)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Alternative Thread Scoring Methods in Qualitative Event Graphs
Ricki G. Ingalls (Oklahoma State University) and Douglas J. Morrice (The University of Texas at Austin)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Optimistic Parallel Discrete Event Simulation of the Event Driven Transmission Line Matrix Methodology
David W. Bauer Jr and Ernest H. Page (The MITRE Corporation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Co-design Modeling Approach for Computer Network Systems
Weilong Hu and Hessam Sarjoughian (Arizona State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Composability and Component-based Discrete Event Simulation
Curtis Blais and Arnold H. Buss (Naval Postgraduate School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Visual Exploration and Evaluation of Climate-related Simulation Data
Thomas Nocke, Michael Flechsig, and Uwe Boehm (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

SimVis: Interactive Visual Analysis of Large and Time-dependent 3D Simulation Data
Helmut Doleisch (VRVis Research Center)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Towards a Conceptual Framework for Visual Analytics of Time and Time-oriented Data
Wolfgang Aigner, Alesssio Bertone, and Silvia Miksch (Danube University Krems) and Christian Tominski and Heidrun Schumann (University of Rostock)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Visualization Techniques Utilizing The Sensitivity Analysis of Models
Ivo Kondapaneni, Pavel Kordik, and Pavel Slavik (Czech Technical University in Prague)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Visualization of Users' Activities in a Specific Environment
Zdenek Mikovec, Ivo Maly, and Pavel Slavik (Czech Technical University in Prague) and Jan Curin (IBM Research)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Trace-based Visual Inspection Technique to Detect Errors in Simulation Models
Peter Kemper (College of William and Mary)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Code Analysis and CS-XML
Kara A. Olson and C. Michael Overstreet (Old Dominion University) and E. Joseph Derrick (Radford University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Empirical Investigations of Conceptual Modeling and the Modeling Process
Wang Wang and Roger J. Brooks (Lancaster University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Organising Insights Into Simulation Practice
Michael Pidd (Lancaster University Management School) and Stewart Robinson (Warwick Business School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Guiding Principles for Conceptual Model Creation in Manufacturing Simulation
Durk-Jouke van der Zee (University of Groningen) and Jack van der Vorst (Wageningen University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Domain Specific Model Constructs in Commercial Simulation Environments
Edwin Valentin (Systems Navigator) and Alexander Verbraeck (Delft University of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

System and Simulation Modeling using SysML
Edward Huang, Randeep Ramamurthy, and Leon F. McGinnis (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Building Composable Bridges Between the Conceptual Space and the Implementation Space
Paul Gustavson (SimVentions) and Tram Chase (SimVentions, Inc)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Composing Simulation Models Using Interface Definitions Based on Web Service Descriptions
Mathias Roehl and Stefan Morgenstern (University of Rostock)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Requirements and Design Principles for Multisimulation with Multiresolution, Multistage Multimodels
Levent Yilmaz, Alvin Lim, and Simon Bowen (Auburn University) and Tuncer Oren (University of Ottawa )
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Exploiting Web Service Techniques for Composing Simulation Models
Mathias Roehl, Florian Marquardt, and Adelinde M. Uhrmacher (University of Rostock)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Model-based Alignment and Orchestration of Heterogeneous Homeland Security Applications Enabling Composition of System of Systems
Andreas Tolk (Old Dominion University) and Charles D. Turnitsa and Saikou Diallo (Virginia Modeling Analysis & Simulation Center)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Metamodel-based Representation Method for Reusable Simulation Model
Yonglin Lei, Lili Song, Weiping Wang, and Caiyun Jiang (National University of Defense Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Observations on New Developments in Composability and Multi-Resolution Modeling
Paul K. Davis (Rand Corporation) and Andreas Tolk (Old Dominion University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Combining Micro and Macro-modeling in DEVS for Computational Biology
Adelinde M. Uhrmacher, Roland Ewald, Mathias John, Carsten Maus, Matthias Jeschke, and Susanne Biermann (University of Rostock)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Multiscale Models of Bacterial Populations
Michael Lees, Brian Logan, and John King (University of Nottingham)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Using Flexible Points in a Developing Simulation of Selective Dissolution in Alloys
Joseph C. Carnahan, Steven A. Policastro, Erin C. Carson, Paul F. Reynolds, Jr., and Robert G. Kelly (University of Virginia)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Agile Optimization for Coercion
Lingjia Tang, Paul F. Reynolds and Jr. (University of Virginia)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Simulation Metamodels for Modeling Output Distribution Parameters
Isabel R. Santos and Pedro R. Santos (Technical University of Lisbon)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Monte Carlo Simulation in Financial Engineering
Nan Chen (Chinese University of Hong Kong) and L. Jeff Hong (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Sensitivity Estimates From Characteristic Functions
Paul Glasserman and Zongjian Liu (Columbia University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Kernel Estimation for Quantile Sensitivities
Guangwu Liu and L. Jeff Hong (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Confidence Interval for Tail Conditional Expectation Via Two-level Simulation
Hai Lan, Barry L. Nelson, and Jeremy Staum (Northwestern University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Efficient Monte Carlo Methods for Convex Risk Measures in Portfolio Credit Risk Models
Joern Dunkel (Universitat Augsburg) and Stefan Weber (Cornell University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Estimating Tranche Spreads by Loss Process Simulation
Kay Giesecke and Baeho Kim (Stanford University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Approximations and Control Variates for Pricing Portfolio Credit Derivatives
Zhiyong Chen (Bear, Stearns & Co. Inc.) and Paul Glasserman (Columbia Business School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Efficient Estimation of Option Price and Price Sensitivities via Structured Database Monte Carlo (SDMC)
Gang Zhao, Tarik Borogovac, and Pirooz Vakili (Boston University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

American Option Pricing Under Stochastic Volatility: A Simulation-based Approach
Arunachalam Chockalingam (Purdue University) and Kumar Muthuraman (University of Texas)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Monte Carlo Methods for Valuation of Ratchet Equity Indexed Annuities
Ming-hua Hsieh and Yu-fen Chiu (National Chengchi University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Non-Gaussian Asset Allocation in the Federal Thrift Savings Plan
Scott T. Nestler (University of Maryland)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Path-wise Estimators and Cross-path Regressions: An Application to Evaluating Portfolio Strategies
Martin B. Haugh (None) and Ashish Jain (Columbia Business School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

An Empirical Comparison Between Nonlinear Programming Optimization and Simulated Annealing (SA) Algorithm Under a Higher Moments Bayesian Portfolio Selection Framework
Jingjing Lu and Merrill Liechty (Drexel University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Enabling Industrial Scale Simulation / Emulation Models
Michael Johnstone, Doug Creighton, and Saeid Nahavandi (Deakin University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Generic Simulation of Automotive Assembly for Interoperability Testing
Deogratias Kibira and Charles R. McLean (National Institute of Standards and Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Distributed Simulation for Interoperability Testing Along the Supply Chain
Sanjay Jain (The George Washington University) and Frank Riddick, Andreas Craens, and Deogratias Kibira (National Institute of Standards and Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Panel: Distributed Simulation in Industry - a Real-world Necessity or Ivory Tower Fancy?
Peter Lendermann (D-SIMLAB Technologies), Leon F. McGinnis (Georgia Institute of Technology), Charles R. McLean (National Institute of Standards and Technology), Simon Taylor (Brunel University), Matthias Heinicke (Unigraphics Solutions GmbH) and Steffen Strassburger (Technical University of Ilmenau)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Representation and Simulation of Stochastic Petri Net Models Using xPNML
Hyunsoo Lee, Bikram Sharda, and Amarnath Banerjee (Texas A&M University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Simulation-based, Ontology Driven Resource Plan Development
Frank Boydstun (Tinker Air Force Base) and Mike Graul, Perakath Benjamin, and Arthur Keen (Knowledge Based Systems, Inc.)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Using Ontologies for Simulation Integration
Perakath Benjamin, Kumar Akella, and Ajay Verma (KBSI)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Using Meta-level Ontology Relations to Measure Conceptual Alignment and Interoperability of Simulation Models
Levent Yilmaz (Auburn University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Conceptual Modeling of Information Exchange Requirements Based on Ontological Means
Andreas Tolk (Old Dominion University) and Charles D. Turnitsa (Virginia Modeling Analysis & Simulation Center)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

From Domain Ontologies to Modeling Ontologies to Executable Simulation Models
Gregory A. Silver, Osama M. Al-Haj Hassan, and John A. Miller (University of Georgia)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

NGfast: A Simulation Model for Rapid Assessment of Impacts of Natural Gas Pipeline Breaks and Flow Reductions at U.S. State Borders and Import Points
Edgar C. Portante, Brian A. Craig, and Stephen M. Folga (Argonne National Laboratory)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

System Implementation Issues of Dynamic Discrete Disaster Decision Simulation System (D⁴S²) - Phase I
Shengnan Wu, Larry J. Shuman, Bopaya Bidanda, Matthew Kelley, Bryan Lawson, Ken Sochats, and Carey D. Balaban (University of Pittsburgh)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Simulation of Time to First Water Application for the First Interstate Bank Fire
Robert Till (John Jay College of Criminal Justice)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Hospital Capacity Planning for Efficient Disaster Mitigation During a Bioterrorist Attack
Jomon Aliyas Paul and Govind Hariharan (Kennesaw State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Allocation of Resources for Hospital Evacuations via Simulation
Esengul Tayfur and Kevin Taaffe (Clemson University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Modeling Bioterrorism Preparedness with Simulation in Rural Healthcare System
Lisa Patvivatsiri (Production Modeling Corporation (PMC)), Elliot J. Montes (W. L. Gore and Associate) and Ouyang Xi (American Bureau of Shipping)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Comparison of Potential Paths Selected by a Malicious Entity with Hazardous Materials: Minimization of Time Vs. Minimization of Distance
Rakesh Nune and Pamela Murray-Tuite (Virginia Tech)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

An Initial Simulation Model for Aiding Policy Analysis in Urban Insurgencies
Edward George Anderson (University of Texas)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Public Health Application of Data Analysis for Homeland Security
Marjorie Greene and Robert Eek (SAIC)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Cyber Attack Modeling and Simulation for Network Security Analysis
Michael E. Kuhl, Jason Kistner, and Kevin Costantini (Rochester Institute of Technology) and Moises Sudit (University at Buffalo)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Hierarchical Planning and Multi Level Scheduling for Simulation-based Probabilistic Risk Assessment
Hamed S. Nejad, Dongfeng Zhu, and Ali Mosleh (Center for Risk and Reliability)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

The Range of Predictions for Calibrated Agent-based Simulation Models
DongFang Shi and Roger J. Brooks (Lancaster University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Upgraded Cellular Automata Based Group-work Interaction Simulation
Dong Shengping and Hu Bin (Huazhong University of Science and Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Spatial Emergence of Genotypical Tribes in an Animat Simulation Model
Ken A. Hawick, Chris J. Scogings, and Heath A. James (Massey University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Agent-model Validation Based on Historical Data
Lance E. Champagne (JDICE) and Raymond R. Hill (Wright State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

An Exploration-based Taxonomy for Emergent Behavior Analysis in Simulations
Ross Gore, Paul F. Reynolds and Jr. (University of Virginia)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Modeling Organizational Adaptation: A Replication of Levinthal's Model of Emergent Order
Brian F. Tivnan (The MITRE Corporation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Panel: Agent-based Modeling of Mass Egress and Evacuations
Douglas A Samuelson (Serco), Matt Parker (ANSER), Austin Zimmerman (Homeland Security Institute), Stephen Guerin, Joshua Thorp, and Owen Densmore (Redfish Group) and Pat McCormick and Tom McCormick (Alpha Informatics Ltd.)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Simulation of Passenger Check-in at a Medium-sized US Airport
Rajan Batta, Li Lin, Colin Drury, and Simone Appelt (University at Buffalo (SUNY))
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Advanced National Airspace Traffic Flow Management
George Hunter, Benjamin Boisvert, and Kris Ramamoorthy (Sensis Corporation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

IRS Post-filing Processes Simulation Modeling: A Comparison of DES with Econometric Microsimulation in Tax Administration
Arnold Greenland (IBM Corporation), David Connors (TranSystems), John Guyton (Internal Revenue Service), Erica Layne Morrison (IBM Corporation) and Michael Sebastiani (Internal Revenue Service)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Agent-based Modeling and Simulation of Wildland Fire Suppression
Xiaolin Hu and Yi Sun (Georgia State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Modeling and Simulation of Group Behavior in E-government Implementation
Jiang Wu and Bin Hu (Huazhong University of Science and Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Emergency Departments Nurse Allocation to Face a Pandemic Influenza Outbreak
Florentino Rico, Ehsan Salari, and Grisselle Centeno (University of South Florida)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Military Keynote Address
John C. Deal (BAE Systems Inc.)

Validating a Network Simulation Testbed for Army UAVs
Stephen Samuel Hamilton and Timothy Schmoyer (United States Military Academy) and John Hamilton (Auburn University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Simulation-aided Path Planning of UAV
Farzad Kamrani and Rassul Ayani (Royal Institute of Technology (KTH))
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Self Organized UAV Swarm Planning Optimization for Search and Destroy Using SWARMFARE Simulation
Dustin J. Nowak (Air Force Institute of Technology), Ian Price (AEDC) and Gary B. Lamont (Air Force Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Simulation of Army Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Communications
Richard Chapman, Drew Hamilton, Daniel Box, Stephen Hamilton, Mark Kuhr, and Jonathan MacDonald (Auburn University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Applying Parallel and Distributed Simulation to Remote Network Emulation
Yan Gu and Richard Fujimoto (Georgia Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Application of BML to Inter-agent Communication in the ITSimBw Simulation Environment
Philipp Huegelmeyer (Bundesamt fur Sicherheit in der Informationstechnik), Ulrich Schade (FGAN) and Thomas Zoeller (Fraunhofer IAIS)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Using a Low-resolution Entity Model for Shaping Initial Conditions for High-resolution Combat Models
Darryl Ahner (U.S. Army TRADOC Analysis Center-Monterey), Arnold H. Buss (Naval Postgraduate School) and John Ruck (Rolands and Associates)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Model-based Measurement of Situation Awareness
W. Scott Neal Reilly and Sean L. Guarino (Charles River Analytics, Inc.) and Bret Kellihan (DCS Corporation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Simulation Model for Military Deployment
Ugur Ziya Yıldırım, Ihsan Sabuncuoglu, and Barbaros Tansel (Bilkent University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Analyzing Air Combat Simulation Results with Dynamic Bayesian Networks
Jirka Lauri Poropudas and Kai Matti Virtanen (Helsinki University of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Integration of Underwater Sonar Simulation with a Geographical Information System
Yanshen Zhu, Serge Sala-Diakanda, Luis Rabelo, Jose A. Sepulveda, and Maria Teresa Bull (University of Central Florida)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Using Discrete Event Simulation to Examine Marine Training at the Marine Corps Communication-Electronics School
Jon W. Davenport, Charles R. Neu, William R. Smith, and Susan K. Heath (Naval Post Graduate School)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Knowledge-based Method for the Validation of Military Simulation
Feiyan Min, Ping Ma, and Ming Yang (Harbin Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Blending Systems Engineering Principles and Simulation-based Design Techniques to Facilitate Military Prototype Development
Stephanie J. Lackey and Johathan T. Harris (Naval Air Warfare Center Training Systems Division) and Linda C. Malone and Denise M. Nicholson (University of Central Florida)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Feasibility Study of Variance Reduction in the Logistics Composite Model
George P. Cole III, Alan W. Johnson, and John O. Miller (Air Force Institute of Technology)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Simulation Framework for Energy-efficient Data Grids
Ziliang Zong, Kiranmai Bellam, and Xiao Qin (Auburn University) and Yiming Yang (Intel Corporation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

An Elliptical Curve Cryptographic Algorithm for Wireless RF Systems
Robert Steven Owor, Khalil Dajani, and Zephyrinus Okonkwo (Albany State University) and John Hamilton (Auburn University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Real-time Prediction in a Stochastic Domain Via Similarity-based Data-mining
Timo Steffens and Philipp Huegelmeyer (Fraunhofer IAIS)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Tutorial: Advances and Challenges in Healthcare Simulation Modeling
Sally C. Brailsford (University of Southampton)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Can Health Care Benefit From Modeling and Simulation in the Same Way as Business and Manufacturing Has?
Jasna Kujlis, Ray J. Paul, and Lampros Stergioulas (Brunel University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Towards a Framework for Healthcare Simulation
Tillal Eldabi and Terry Young (Brunel University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Interconnected DES Models of Emergency, Outpatient, and Inpatient Departments of a Hospital
Murat M. Gunal and Michael Pidd (Lancaster University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Discrete Event Model of Clinical Trial Enrollment at Eli Lilly and Company
Bernard M. McGarvey, Nancy J. Dynes, Burch C. Lin, Wesley H. Anderson, James P. Kremidas, and James C. Felli (Eli Lilly and Company)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Important Factors in Screening for Colorectal Cancer
Reza Yaesoubi and Stephen Dean Roberts (North Carolina State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Roles for Autonomous Physiologic Agents; an Oxygen Supply and Demand Example
Meyer Katzper (SIA)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Targeted Strategies for Tuberculosis in Areas of High HIV Prevalence: A Simulation Study
Georgina Mellor and Christine S. M. Currie (University of Southampton), Elizabeth Corbett (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) and Russell C. H. Cheng (University of Southampton)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Improving Primary Care Access Using Simulation Optimization
Hari Balasubramanian, Ritesh Banerjee, and Melissa Gregg (Mayo Clinic) and Brian T. Denton (North Carolina State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

An Approach to Hospital Planning and Design Using Discrete Event Simulation
Ian William Gibson (Bovis Lend Lease)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Bi-criteria Evaluation of an Outpatient Surgery Procedure Center Via Simulation
Todd R. Huschka (Mayo Clinic), Brian T. Denton (North Carolina State University) and Serhat Gul and John W. Fowler (Arizona State University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

"See and Treat" or "See" and "Treat" in an Emergency Department
Ruth M. Davies (University of Warwick)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Modeling of Patient Flows in a Large-scale Outpatient Hospital Ward by Making Use of Electronic Medical Records
Soemon Takakuwa (Nagoya University) and Daisuke Katagiri (Daifuku Co., Ltd.)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Hybrid Epidemic Model: Combining the Advantages of Agent-based and Equation-based Approaches
Georgiy V. Bobashev, D. Michael Goedecke, and Feng Yu (RTI International) and Joshua M. Epstein (Brookings Institution)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Stochastic Equation-Based Model of the Value of International Air-Travel Restrictions for Controlling Pandemic Flu
D. Michael Goedecke, Georgiy V. Bobashev, and Feng Yu (RTI International)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Flexible, Large-scale, Distributed Agent Based Epidemic Model
Jon Parker (Brookings Institution)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Simulating Pandemic Influenza Risks of U.S. Cities
Catherine Dibble, Stephen Wendel, and Kristofor Carle (University of Maryland)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

A Teragrid-enabled Distributed Discrete Event Agent-based Epidemiological Simulation
Douglas Roberts and Diglio A. Simoni (RTI International)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Utilizing Model Characteristics to Obtain Efficient Parallelization in the Context of Agent-based Epidemilogical Models
Steven Naron (Independent Consultant) and Segev Wasserkrug (IBM Research)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Simulating the Patient Move: Transitioning to a Replacement Hospital
Marshall Ashby, Martin Miller, David M. Ferrin, and Tanner Flynn (FDI Simulation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Maximizing Hospital Finanacial Impact and Emergency Department Throughput with Simulation
David M. Ferrin and Martin Miller (FDI Simulation) and Diana McBroom (Carondelet St. Mary’s Hospital)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Merging Six Emergency Departments Into One: A Simulation Approach
Martin Miller, David M. Ferrin, Marshall Ashby, and Tanner Flynn (FDI Simulation) and Niloo Shahi (LAC+USC Healthcare Network)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Comparing Simulation Alternatives Based on Quality Expectations
Joshua Bosire and Shengyong Wang (Binghamton University (SUNY)), Tejas Gandhi (Virtua Health) and Krishnaswami Srihari (Binghamton University (SUNY))
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Effect of Coupling between Emergency Department and Inpatient Unit on the Overcrowding in Emergency Department
Erik Michael Wilhelm Kolb, Taesik Lee, and Jordan Peck (MIT Park Center for Complex Systems)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Manufacturing Process Management Using a Flexible Modeling and Simulation Approach
Duilio Curcio, Francesco Longo, and Giovanni Mirabelli (University of Calabria)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Application of Design of Experiments on the Simulation of a Process in an Automotive Industry
Jose Arnaldo Barra Montevechi (Universidade Federal de Itajuba) and Alexandre Ferreira de Pinho, Fabiano Leal, and Fernando Augusto Silva Marins (Universidade Estadual Paulista)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Productivity Improvement in Appliance Manufacturing
Charles Harrell (Brigham Young University) and Bruce Gladwin (ProModel Corporation)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Using Multicriteria Modeling and Simulation to Achieve Lean Goals
Gerald W. Evans and Suraj M. Alexander (University of Louisville)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

"Pull" Replenishment Performance as a Function of Demand Rates and Setup Times Under Optimal Settings
Silvanus T. Enns (University of Calgary)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Measuring Manufacturing Throughput using Takt Time Analysis and Simulation
Jun Duanmu and Kevin Taaffe (Clemson University)
[ Full Paper as a pdf file ]

Modeling and Simulation of Hard Disk Dive Final Assembly Using a HDD Template
Ahad Ali (Lawrence Technological University) and Robert De-Souza (The Logistics Institute - Asia Pacific)
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